Popular Revolt in Autocratic Moslem Nations: it’s most consequential impact of all.

II. How will these events affect the world and the future of the Middle East?
Taken from Image:BlankMap-World6.svg, scaled up 6 times, created on w:GIMP. Saved in PNG format. Created by TheTallOne on 27 Dec 2006. All rights released by TheTallOne. Map of Israel and members of the Arab League (Comoros is shown in bottom right).

Israel and her neighbors.

It has now been almost two weeks since my last post, and we are seeing even more uprisings throughout the Autocratic Moslem world–Libya, Bahrain, and even Saudi Arabia are now having to deal with the hordes of protestors demanding change in their respective countries.  Undoubtedly, this desire for change is sweeping across Northern Africa and the Middle East like a sand storm.  After Tunisia and Egypt, which country will be the next domino to fall?  Only time will tell.  But the writing is on the wall, and more regimes will soon be shown the exit.

Needless to say, this instability is also affecting the world markets, which hates uncertainty.  Additionally the rising price of oil will be an effect felt by everyone on the planet.  But effects like these are merely collateral damage next to the real target of these upheavals–the demolition of Autocracy in the Middle East.

What few are talking about today is how these events will have an impact on the nation of Israel.  What is already evident is that the impact these events will have is to transform the political landscape in the Arab world en bloc, possibly the last stronghold of nonwestern style government systems, and the one group of nations that share a common enmity towards Israel.

This is what it’s all about.  This will be, in terms of regional and global politics, the most consequential impact of all.  This will be a historical watershed unlike anything history has ever seen.

Let us briefly consider Israel.

Facing the Maghreb on the west and the Mashriq on the east, the world’s only Jewish majority state is essentially enveloped by Arabic nations who, culturally and historically, are their arch enemies.  Of these, Egypt and Jordan are the only Arab nations who have  (reluctantly) made peace treaties with Israel, but others, even while conducting vestigial trade relations, firmly refuse to recognize it as a state, and consider it as an anomaly in the region.

Something big is about to happen here, something that requires all powerful regimes (read: regimes not under Western sway) who are unfriendly toward a Jewish State be decapitated before hand–in order that what follows will not be, and can not be, politically challenged nor militarily confronted.  The current transformation of the Middle East began with the invasion and toppling of Saddam Hussein in Iraq and the Taliban in Afghanistan (two regimes with strong anti-Israel sentiments). However, by the looks of it, this transformation is going to be sustained and perpetuated, at least in part, by popular revolts like the ones we saw in Egypt and Tunisia, change, as far as one can tell, that came from within.

It’s coming soon.


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